
There’s a special magic surrounding roulette. For centuries, roulette players have tried to outsmart the casino. Only a few, like the Spaniard Gonzalo Pelayo, have succeeded. He managed to gain an advantage when the roulette wheel wasn’t perfectly level on the table. Only a few are able to profit from these kinds of minuscule deviations. Yet, many players think they can crack roulette, even in non GamStop casinos. This gives rise to roulette systems and persistent roulette myths. Our experts will investigate whether these myths are true. Visit also legal casinos for UK players outside GamStop.
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What are the seven most common Roulette myths?
We have listed the seven most heard (and thought) Roulette myths for you.
1. After red, the chance of black is greater
Or conversely: after a black number, the chance of a red number increases. That’s not true. The roulette ball has no memory. Of all the roulette myths, this is the most common.
In every game, the probability of black or red is exactly the same. In European Roulette, there are 18 red numbers and 18 black numbers. The probability of red is therefore 18/37, which comes to 48.65%. There are also 18 black numbers. The probability of black is therefore also 48.65%. The payout percentage therefore never changes. And if red comes up? Then the next game, there are simply 18 red numbers out of the 37 total. This again results in a 48.65% probability of red.
2. The Roulette is rigged, because red comes up more often
You often hear in non GamStop casinos that roulette is rigged or manipulated. This kind of talk, of course, usually comes from people who have lost heavily. After all, when avid players win, it’s entirely their own fault. Winning is the result of a fantastic strategy and the necessary skill. Lose? Then it’s everyone’s fault, except themselves. From fellow players to the roulette wheel.
Often, the evidence is that, for example, red has come up more often than black. Players draw this conclusion based on a small sample of, say, 100 spins. Such samples are too small to draw any meaningful conclusions. Official tests are conducted with tens of thousands, hundreds of thousands, or even millions of spins. This is one of the most common roulette myths.
3. You beat the casino by doubling your bet
Many roulette systems are based on progressive betting. Consider the Martingale system, for example. Every time you lose, you double your bet. The idea is that you then make up for all previous losses with a profit and still have some money left over. Does that work? No. The outcome of a roulette wheel is determined by the ball and the roulette wheel.
The ball and the wheel are objects without brains and without memory. Neither the ball nor the roulette wheel knows what you’ve bet on. Let alone that they could do anything with this information. Besides, it’s unlikely you can keep doubling your bet forever.
4. Some number sequences cannot fall
There are two sides to this. The first is the idea that number sequences can’t happen. Many players believe it’s impossible for 1, 2, 3, and 4 to land consecutively in roulette.
Yet it is possible. The probability of a series of 1, 2, 3, and 4 is exactly the same as the probability of a series of 3, 17, 12, and 34. For example, suppose 1, 2, and 3 have been drawn. The probability of 4 is then exactly 1 in 37. There is one four, and there are 37 different numbers. The probability of 4 is therefore exactly the same as the probability of, for example, 12. Or 19.
Conversely, betting on patterns is pointless. The ball and the wheel can’t think, let alone devise patterns and maneuver themselves precisely to follow them.
5. Going beyond your budget can help
Of course, bankroll management is wise. Bankroll management is a fancy term for being sensible with your money. This means not betting too big and not betting more than you can afford. Your playing budget has no influence whatsoever on the roulette wheel or the roulette ball. Managing your money wisely doesn’t change your chances of winning. So always gamble responsibly.
6. A system that wins most of the time is profitable
This is another persistent misconception. Many roulette systems will give you a profit most of the time. Take Martingale or Fibonacci, for example. Most of the time, you’ll leave the casino with a small profit. However, when things go wrong, you’ll lose a lot.
Martingale usually yields a small profit. This is precisely the amount of your initial bet, which you use to start your Martingale streak. That might be €1, for example. Unlucky and lose? With this type of progressive betting system, you’ll lose a lot. Worse still, you’ll immediately be in the red, and you’ll need to play many successful streaks to recover.